Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Final Blog

Predicted Weather Change

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Charleston is predicted to experience a 2.5º to 3.0º C increase in surface temperatures.  It is also expected that Charleston will see more frequent and intense precipitation than in years past.  In general, Charleston’s climate is expected to become warmer and wetter as time passes by.  


Source: IPPC's Climate Change 2007

In addition to these climate changes, Charleston will see an uptick in extreme weather.  This extreme weather will come in three forms.  The first form is that not only will there be increases in average temperatures but there will be more frequent and longer heat spells.  In the case of precipitation as not only will Charleston see more precipitation but there will be more cases of heavy rain which will cause more flooding.  Charleston, if the predictions hold true, can expect to see a higher frequency in Hurricanes.  Again, the intensity of these storms will coincide with the higher frequency, in the form of higher wind speeds and storm surges.  In addition to these local conditions, Charleston could be affected by higher sea levels at the global level.  



This could become a common occurrence on the commute home
Source:http://www.postandcourier.com/article/20110423/PC1602/304239969


Consequences


Environment – At an environmental level the biggest consequences of climate change is the flooding of the wetlands of Charleston.  Wetlands are an extremely important part of the ecosystem and provide a large array of benefits.  Wetlands are areas where groundwater or standing waters create an extremely saturated environment in which plants suited for wet conditions thrive and a wide variety of wildlife reside.  Swamps, marshes, and bogs are all considered to be wetlands.  The EPA states that wetlands provide benefits such as a natural fresh water filter, storing floodwaters, and control erosion.  The loss of these lands means Charleston could become even more susceptible to floods and the proverbial ecosystem dominos would begin to fall in the whole area.


The Wetlands of Charleston, SC
Source: science.howstuffworks.com
Public Health – The impact of climate change will be felt in the arena of public health.  With longer and hotter heat waves, the risk of heat stroke will increase greatly.  The elderly, young, and poor are especially at risk.  There has been a rising increase in heat stroke related deaths in the south and that will only increase.  An increase in flooding will also have a negative impact on public health.  With an increase in flooding, there will be a corresponding increase in standing water for periods of time.  Standing water carries dangerous pathogens that can leave people critically ill.  Once again the elderly, young, and poor will be at a higher risk.  Finally, as mentioned before the destructive forces of Hurricanes will always have a negative impact on the communities public health. 

Economics - Two economic drivers of Charleston will be greatly impacted by the predicted weather and climate changes that are predicted.  They two economic sectors are tourism and shipping.  Charleston has become a tourist destination as a result of its famous hotels, coastline, and golf courses.  If the climate becomes wetter, many of these outdoor activities that draw people to Charleston will lose their luster.  The money will not be brought into the local economy.  If the weather does become more extreme at a higher rate, shipping companies will have to analyze their risk in using Charleston port as a major logistical center.  Once again this will mean fewer dollars for the local economy.  Another concern for the shipping industry is the possibility of rising sea levels.  This could affect the depth and geography of the harbor.  If there was significant change, the harbor could become unsuitable for the large container vessels and all together wipe out the shipping industry.  At the very least, billions of dollars could be needed to deepen the harbor or fill the new coast line to restore it to its original condition.      


Perfect Weather for a Beach Vacation
Source: travelandleisure.com



Charleston Port, will it remain viable?
Source: siteselection.com

Mitigative Measures

Protect and Restore the Wetlands – While the increase in flooding and higher sea levels attributed to climate change may destroy existing wetlands no matter what, the destruction by mankind should be prevented.  The city should adopt a land use ordinance that restricts new development from taking place in the wetland areas.  Policymakers in Charleston should also look beyond just preserving the wetlands.  They should be aiming to restoring previously filled and developed wetlands.  Thankfully when wetlands are filled and developed over they are not lost.   The EPA has guidelines and best practices in wetland restoration that the government of Charleston can and should take advantage of.  By putting these policies into place, Charleston will have a more natural and effective flood control system and the ecosystem may move to a more natural state improving the overall environment of the region. 

Invest in Flood Prevention Infrastructure – The current system of levee’s, seawalls, pumps, and drainage systems should be examined.  Unfortunately, as the world saw in New Orleans during Hurricane Katrina, these systems are probably insufficient in providing protection from high category hurricanes.  Money should be secured and projects prioritized to increase the capacity of these systems.  While these systems cannot completely shield the city from severe weather, they can reduce the risk of a catastrophic event.  





Sources:

No comments:

Post a Comment